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Epidemiology and Prevention |
Cancer Research Campaign Human Cancer Genetics Research Group, Department of Oncology [P. D. P. P., S. G., B. A. J. P.], and Cancer Research Campaign Genetic Epidemiology Unit, Department of Community Medicine [P. D. P. P., D. F. E.], University of Cambridge Strangeways Research Laboratories, Worts Causeway, Cambridge, CB1 8RN; and East Anglian Cancer Intelligence Unit, Department of Community Medicine, Institute of Public Health, Cambridge [D. L. S.], CB1 2SR, United Kingdom
| ABSTRACT |
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| INTRODUCTION |
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The characteristics of familial and inherited epithelial ovarian cancer are less well described. In one small study of site-specific familial ovarian cancer, no difference in grade was found between familial and sporadic ovarian tumors (4) . Another study of familial ovarian cancer found a significantly higher proportion of serous cystadenocarcinoma in familial cases (83%) compared to controls (49%; Ref. 5 ). A high proportion of serous adenocarcinoma has also been reported for BRCA1-associated ovarian tumors (3 , 6) .
Several studies have investigated the outcome for patients with familial and BRCA1-associated ovarian cancer, but the results of these studies have been conflicting. Buller et al. (4) found a 67% 5-year survival in 11 women from ovarian cancer families, compared to 17% in 34 age-matched controls (4) . The disease stage in the two groups was similar. However, a slightly larger study found the survival of 28 cases of familial ovarian cancer to be similar to that of 84 control cases matched for age and stage (5) . There have also been three published studies that have investigated the influence of BRCA1 mutations on survival in patients with ovarian cancer (6, 7, 8) . Rubin et al. (6) found a median survival of 77 months in 43 BRCA1 mutation carriers with advanced ovarian cancer, compared to 29 months for age- and stage-matched controls, a difference that was highly statistically significant. This study was subsequently criticized because of several possible biases. In particular, the possibility that a family history in mutation carriers may have led to surveillance bias has been suggested (9 , 10) , and likely differences in treatment between the two groups were highlighted (9 , 11) . A smaller study of 38 BRCA1 carriers matched for stage, age, year of diagnosis, and histopathological features to 97 controls treated at same institution in Sweden found a similar survival in BRCA1 carriers and controls for the first 4 years, after which survival was worse for the BRCA1 group (7) . This difference was not statistically significant. An uncontrolled Canadian study found the median survival in 44 BRCA1-associated cancers to be 31 months (8) , which is similar to that reported by Johannsson et al. (11) for both mutation carriers and controls and to the controls in the study of Rubin et al. (6) . No published studies have investigated survival in ovarian cancer patients with mutations in BRCA2.
Here, we carried out genetic analyses for mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 in families with site-specific ovarian cancer and breast-ovarian cancer families that are registered on the United Kingdom Coordinating Committee for Cancer Research (UKCCCR) Familial Ovarian Cancer Registry. We report our findings regarding the pathological features of ovarian cancer occurring in these families and of the clinical outcome for these patients according to whether an identifiable mutation in BRCA1 or BRCA2 was found in the family. We also compared the survival in familial ovarian cancer cases with or without a BRCA1/2 mutation with a population-based control group matched on age and year of diagnosis.
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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Sporadic cases of epithelial ovarian cancer were identified from the population-based East Anglian Cancer Registry, which has data on all cases registered in the East Anglian region since 1971. Case ascertainment is by multiple methods, and 91% of cases are confirmed by histopathology. Regular, active follow-up of all cases ensures that survival data are accurate. Two controls matched on age and year of diagnosis were identified for each familial case diagnosed after 1970 for whom complete follow-up data were available.
Mutation Detection.
The entire coding sequence and splice junctions of BRCA1 and BRCA2 were screened for mutations using a combination of the protein truncation test and nonradioactive single-strand conformation analysis/heteroduplex analysis and sequence analysis (12
, 13)
. All affected relatives with ovarian cancer from families in which a mutation was identified were assumed to carry that mutation.
Statistical Methods.
We compared characteristics of tumors between groups by
2 tests. Kaplan-Meier survival probabilities were calculated, and differences were tested by the log-rank test.
The major difficulty in assessing survival in known mutation carriers in this study is that such cases are, by definition, selected by virtue of having survived long enough to be tested. Even if one includes all cases in the family, the fact that at least one case (the index case) must be sampled biases the series toward better survival. In addition, there is a potential bias introduced by increased surveillance of women with a family history. To minimize the effects of these biases, the principal survival comparison in this study was between ovarian cancer cases from mutation-positive families and cases from families who were tested but found to be negative. The latter group of familial cases will necessarily contain some BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations that were not detected, together with "sporadic" cases and perhaps some due to other genes. To determine whether there was a survival difference between familial ovarian cancer in general and unselected cases, we performed a separate analysis in which all cases on the register (whether or not they could be tested) who have been diagnosed since 1971 were compared with population controls. Because this included the cases from families in which there was no living proband available for genetic testing, bias due to increased survival in the index case did not apply to this analysis.
| RESULTS |
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2 = 0.17, 2 degrees of freedom, P = 0.91).
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2 = 7.77, 1 degree of freedom, P = 0.005).
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| DISCUSSION |
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We found no evidence for a difference in survival for women with ovarian cancer from families with mutations in BRCA1 or BRCA2 compared to women with ovarian cancer from families in which no mutation has been identified. There was also no difference in survival between cases due to the two genes, although the number of BRCA2 cases was too small to make definitive statements about this group. However, misclassification of mutation status will bias the result toward the null. First, we have assumed that all patients with invasive ovarian cancer in families with identified mutations are carriers. This assumption will result in the misclassification of less than 10% of patients (14)
. A more serious misclassification is that current mutation detection techniques miss a significant proportion of mutations, so that all women from some families will have been erroneously classified as mutation negative. The sensitivity of mutation testing is not yet precisely known, but it is thought to be
6070% (15)
. The effect of this misclassification is that the true confidence limits on any observed survival difference would be wider than the observed limits. However, no survival difference was observed.
In contrast, the survival of familial cases as a whole was found to be significantly worse than for population controls. This finding may be a reflection of real biological differences between familial and sporadic epithelial ovarian cancer. Biological differences might be expected to be manifest not only by survival differences but also by differences in histopathological type and stage, differences that were, indeed, observed. Both histopathological type and stage are important predictors of prognosis, and inclusion of histopathological grade in a multivariate survival analysis reduced the survival difference between familial and sporadic cases to nonsignificance. Data on stage were sparse, but if the few familial tumors for which stage data were available were representative of all familial tumors, the difference in stage between familial and sporadic tumors could also account for some of the survival advantage of the sporadic cases.
An alternative explanation is that the observed survival difference is the result of bias. However, the expected biases that affect survival in familial casesi.e., selective ascertainment of ovarian cancer families with surviving cases and increased surveillance of women with a family historywould be expected to improve outcome for the familial cases. If these biases were operating, the true difference would be larger than that observed. Regional differences in survival may be more relevant because the population controls were selected from the East Anglian cancer registry, whereas the ovarian cancer families are from all over the United Kingdom. However, there are minimal regional differences in survival of ovarian cancer in the United Kingdom, and the 5-year survival for all ovarian cancer in East Anglia is similar to that for the rest of the country. Regional differences in all cause mortality may also account for some of the observed difference in survival because the standardized mortality ratio for East Anglia is lower than that for the United Kingdom as a whole. This is not likely to have a major impact because the mortality from the cancer itself is so much greater than that from other causes.
Our results are at odds with the findings from other studies, which have suggested similar (5 , 7) or improved (4 , 6) survival in familial or BRCA1-associated ovarian cancer. However, in three of these studies, the familial/mutation cases were matched with sporadic controls for several factors, including stage at diagnosis. Stage is likely to reflect not only the mode of diagnosis but also the biological characteristics of the tumor. More aggressive tumors are likely to present at a later stage, so matching for this characteristic may have the effect of reducing or removing a true survival difference between the groups. Indeed, when we restricted our survival analysis to the stage III/IV cancers, we found no difference between the familial and population cases, although the number of familial cases was small.
We conclude that survival in hereditary ovarian cancer is, if anything, worse than in sporadic disease, perhaps reflecting a real difference in biology that is analogous to that observed in breast cancer.
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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| FOOTNOTES |
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1 The UKCCCR Familial Ovarian Cancer Register is supported by the Cancer Research Campaign and the Imperial Cancer Research Fund. B. A. J. P. was a Gibb Fellow of the Cancer Research Campaign. P. D. P. P., S. A. G., and D. F. E. were supported by the Cancer Research Campaign. ![]()
2 To whom requests for reprints should be addressed, at Strangeways Research Laboratories, Worts Causeway, Cambridge, CB1 8RN, United Kingdom. Phone: 44 (0)1223 740166; Fax: 44 (0)1223 411609; E-mail: paul.pharoah{at}srl.cam.ac.uk ![]()
3 Members of the steering committee were as follows: D. T. Bishop, W. P. Collins, D. Cox, D. F. Easton, G. R. Fraser, I. Jacobs, D. G. Lowe, J. Mackay, B. A. J. Ponder, J. H. Shepherd, and C. M. Steel. ![]()
Received 7/22/98. Accepted 12/14/98.
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