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Molecular Biology and Genetics |
Department of Molecular Oncology [D. S. B. H., P. B., C. K., T. O.], Division of Biostatistics [H-J. W., R. E.], and John Wayne Cancer Clinic [D. L. M.], John Wayne Cancer Institute, Saint Johns Health Center, Santa Monica, California 90404, and Department of Biomathematics, University of California at Los Angeles School of Medicine, Los Angeles, California 90024 [H-J. W., R. E.]
| ABSTRACT |
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| INTRODUCTION |
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The detection of metastatic melanoma cells in blood by RT-PCR3 has been studied by several laboratories (7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14) . We first reported the use of a multimarker RT-PCR assay to detect metastatic melanoma cells in blood in 1995 (7) . The rationale was based on several known facts of metastatic melanoma. Melanomas are highly heterogeneous for tumor-related protein expression. Individual melanoma cells within a tumor and among different patients tumors express various levels of tumor marker mRNA transcripts. The heterogeneity of marker expression in these melanoma cells limits the reliability of a single-marker detection assay. In a previous study, blood obtained from 119 melanoma patients with different AJCC stages of disease were assessed using a multimarker RT-PCR assay based on four melanoma mRNA markers: tyrosinase, MAGE-3, p97, and MUC-18 (7) . Tyrosinase is an enzyme that plays a role in the initial stages of the melanogenesis pathway and has been well documented in RT-PCR detection studies for metastatic melanoma (7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12) . MAGE-3 and p97 are melanoma-associated antigens (7 , 15) . MUC-18, an adhesion-related glycoprotein found on melanomas, is associated with tumor progression (16) . The study demonstrated that the frequency of RT-PCR marker expression and the number of positive markers in blood samples were higher in patients with more advanced stage disease. Using the same RT-PCR markers, these results have recently been further validated in a larger cohort of melanoma patients (n = 235 patients) by a European cooperative group (13) . Evidence is accumulating that a multiple mRNA marker assay provides a more reliable and informative approach than a single-marker tyrosinase assay for the detection of metastatic melanoma in blood.
Previous studies by our laboratory and others have demonstrated the presence of RT-PCR markers in blood of patients who have no clinical evidence of cancer after disease removal. The clinical relevance of these findings has not been well understood to date. This "systemic subclinical disease" may have the potential to establish distant metastasis. However, the clinical significance of these findings is unknown until appropriate clinical follow-up is carried out. The probability of melanoma progression (disease recurrence and overall survival) in a patient can be predicted to some level in the long-term by established prognostic factors for early and advanced stages of disease based on analysis from melanoma databases (1 , 2) .
In this study, we assessed the clinical utility of the multimarker RT-PCR assay on blood of melanoma patients who had no evidence of clinically detectable disease and followed up for >4 years. The purpose of the study was to determine whether the multimarker RT-PCR assay could detect subclinical metastatic melanoma in the blood and to evaluate its clinical utility as an independent predictor of early disease recurrence. This study demonstrates that detection of multiple RT-PCR markers can be used as an independent prognostic factor for disease recurrence. A risk factor model was developed with disease stage and number of RT-PCR positive markers to predict early disease recurrence.
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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Blood Preparation and RT-PCR.
Blood was collected and processed, and RNA was extracted as previously
described (7)
. Negative and positive controls were
performed for RT-PCR, ethidium bromide gel electrophoresis, and
Southern blot analysis. ß-Actin gene mRNA analysis was assessed for
all specimens for mRNA quality control. Three micrograms of RNA was
used in all RT-PCR assays. Blood specimens obtained from normal healthy
donors were used as negative controls for the markers. Established
melanoma cell lines were used as positive controls for individual
markers as previously described (7
, 17) . A positive
result, verified by at least two individuals, was considered only when
the RT-PCR Southern blot results are positive.
Oligonucleotide and Probes.
Primers and PCR conditions used for the four melanoma-associated
markers MAGE-3, MUC-18, p97, and tyrosinase were previously described
(7)
. All procedures were optimized: reagents, primers, PCR
conditions, and Southern blot conditions. cDNA probes for Southern
blotting were prepared as previously described (7)
. The
specificity of the markers in blood from normal donors
(n = 39) and in cell lines
(n = 10) was previously demonstrated
(7)
. MUC-18, as previously described, can be positive in
some volunteer donors (approximately 5%) under the assay conditions
used. However, in these individuals it has not been "truly"
determined if they have cancer or if expression is related to other
clinical manifestation.
Statistical Analysis.
The Spearmen correlation coefficient was used to assess the association
between number of positive markers, age, Clark level, Breslow
thickness, and AJCC stage of disease. The correlation between the
number of markers expressed to gender and site of the primary were
tested using the Wilcoxon rank sum test and Krushal-Wallis test,
respectively. The Log rank test was used to assess the number of
positive markers as a single prognostic factor for recurrence
(18)
. Disease stage, gender, age, and number of positive
markers were tested together using the Cox proportional hazard
regression model (19)
. Log rank test was used to assess
the differences among the low, medium, and high-risk groups on
recurrences during years 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. A 0.05 two-sided
significance level was used for determination of statistical
significance.
| RESULTS |
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Patient expression of individual markers and combinations of markers is
shown in Table 1
. The most commonly expressed marker was MUC-18, followed in decreasing
order by tyrosinase, p97, and MAGE-3. In these patients, there were 3
(6.5%), 13 (28%), 13 (28%), 17 (37%) and 1 (2%) patients with
zero, one, two, three, and four positive markers, respectively (Table 1)
. Only three patients expressed no markers. Patient demographic
characteristics are shown in Table 2
. The majority of the patients were AJCC stage III and had lesions at
extremity sites that were Clark level IV with a Breslow 1.51- to
4.00-mm thickness. The analysis of number of positive markers in
blood showed a significant (P = 0.009)
correlation to AJCC stage. There was no correlation between the number
of positive markers and age, Clark level, Breslow thickness, site, or
gender.
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2 test) with
tyrosinase (P = 0.018) and MAGE-3
(P = 0.033) to AJCC stage. The markers MUC-18
and p97 did not correlate with AJCC stage. There was significant
correlation between tyrosinase and MAGE-3 expression
(P = 0.003; Kendalls Tau test). There was
no significant correlation of individual markers to recurrence or
survival.
Predictive Model for Recurrence.
The median follow-up times were 43.2 months for all 46 patients and 51
months for disease-free patients. There were 44, 42, 40, and 37
patients followed at least 1, 2, 3, and 4 years, respectively (Table 4)
. If patients were stratified into low-risk (AJCC stage I-II, zero to two
markers), high-risk (AJCC stage III-IV, three to four markers), and
medium-risk (AJCC stage I-II, three to four markers; or AJCC stage
III-IV, zero to two markers) categories, there was a significant
pattern in disease recurrence (Table 4)
. The association of risk level
and disease recurrence was investigated at years 1, 2, 3, and 4,
respectively, using the Log rank test. Overall, there was a significant
pattern of disease recurrence in all categories in years 2, 3, and 4 of
clinical follow-up. There were no recurrences (zero of five) in the
low-risk group, whereas in the medium- and high-risk groups there was
32% (8 of 25) and 66.2% (9 of 16) recurrence, respectively. There
were significant (P = 0.037) differences in
recurrence among the individual risk stratification groups (Fig. 2)
.
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| DISCUSSION |
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The number of positive markers in the blood of patients correlated with AJCC stage. This finding was consistent with our hypothesis that more advanced disease would have more tumor cells with greater genetic instability in the blood and therefore a higher probability of expressing multiple melanoma mRNA markers. There are multiple single-marker studies reported for detecting tumor cells in blood; however, the reliability and sensitivity of many single-markers are limited (14 , 20) . The majority of RT-PCR assays reported involving melanoma patients blood has been based on a single-marker assay using tyrosinase (10 , 12 , 14 , 21) . The limitation of tyrosinase mRNA alone as a marker is that its mRNA expression levels can vary considerably from different tumor biopsies of an individual patient and among patients. It is known that amelanotic melanomas are generally more aggressive than highly melanotic tumors (2) . Amelanotic tumors are known to have less tyrosinase mRNA transcripts (17) . In single-marker assessment of blood by RT-PCR, the dilution factor of a few melanoma cells among millions of leukocytes in blood would reduce the final signal. This dilution factor would be significantly enhanced if the marker mRNA copy level is low. This problem would be further compounded using markers in which the gene expression is variable among tumor cells and is influenced by various host epigenetic factors (22) . Our study supports findings by other investigators that tyrosinase as a single RT-PCR marker in blood analysis has limited clinical utility (14 , 23 , 24) . Studies have suggested that detection of melanoma cells in blood using tyrosinase mRNA is not accurately indicative of disease status or stage but may be of value as a predictive progression marker (25) . Tyrosinase mRNA alone in our assay did not correlate with disease recurrence or survival. Our study suggests that tyrosinase mRNA is an important RT-PCR marker in blood for increased risk of disease recurrence only when in combination with other melanoma markers. However, one must acknowledge that metastasis is a cascade of events that involves intricate host interactions and inherited properties of the tumor cells. The overall process of melanoma metastasis is inefficient because there are a multitude of factors such as tumor genetic instability, host factors, and host immunity that can play a significant role in determining the success of a tumor cell(s) establishing a metastasis (26, 27, 28, 29, 30) .
We demonstrated that the number of RT-PCR markers was a significant independent variable for predicting disease recurrence. None of the known prognostic factors, such as Breslow thickness, Clarks level, age, gender, or site, were significant in predicting disease recurrence in the small number of patients studied. A risk factor model was developed using AJCC stage and the number of positive markers. In this risk factor model, a low risk and high risk could be well identified. To our knowledge, this is the first study indicating that a molecular variable as an independent prognostic factor can be used to predict melanoma recurrence. There was significant correlation of prediction of disease recurrence in years 2, 3, and 4 of clinical follow-up using this risk stratification model. One of the major challenges to an oncologist is to be able to determine which patients who are disease-free are at increased risk of recurrence within a couple of years. These high-risk patients would benefit from aggressive treatment and follow-up for clinically detectable disease. In a recent study, we demonstrated the increased sensitivity of detecting micrometastasis in melanoma patients sentinel nodes using a multimarker RT-PCR assay (27) . The multimarker assay was very sensitive in significantly upstaging melanoma cell detection over immunohistochemistry and correlated with disease recurrence. This study also demonstrated that tyrosinase as a single marker was not as good in detecting micrometastasis as compared with multimarker analysis.
In a previous report by our group, it was observed that melanoma patients (n = 1512) who progressed from AJCC stage I/II to stage IV took an average of 33.8 months (26) . Patients progressing from AJCC stage I/II to stage III took an average of 9 months. The data in the present study on disease recurrence prediction with AJCC stage and RT-PCR markers in 2, 3, and 4 years correlate with this previous observation. The detection of subclinical disease in blood should help in improving prediction of disease recurrences. Current melanoma prognostic factors are tumor-based or host demographic-based and do not take into consideration ongoing tumor spreading. Development of methods to measure actual ongoing tumor progression and subclinical disease such as circulating tumor cells in blood will help to improve patient management and to identify disease status.
As more information is learned in treatment responses relative to specific clinicopathological parameters, it is inevitable that molecular detection of residual disease will have an important role in treatment stratification. Although the aim of this study was primarily to assess the predictive value of marker positive bloods and disease recurrence, we also assessed overall survival. Long-term follow-up for analysis of survival requires consideration of other established prognostic factors for each particular cancer. Prediction of melanoma patient overall survival has been well documented in multicenter studies regarding the significance of specific prognostic factors (see review in Ref. 1 ). Using a Cox proportional hazard model in the correlation of number of positive markers to survival, we found a significant trend. Although studies have reported the significance of melanoma cells in blood detected by tyrosinase marker RT-PCR as a prognostic factor to predict survival outcome (21 , 31) , these analyses are often univariate and lack consideration of known prognostic factors in the prediction of survival. One must be particularly cautious in interpreting the prognostic significance of an assay using an univariate model.
The clinical utility of the multimarker RT-PCR assay can also be of value in monitoring adjuvant therapy of patients clinically free of disease. The use of RT-PCR analysis of blood can be used as surrogate end points to predict therapy response. In the future, this approach may curtail unnecessary long-term treatment schedules and may predict much earlier which treatments are less likely to be effective. As cancer therapy regimens become more complicated using different agents, sequences of treatment combinations, and dosages, it is becoming increasingly more important to develop better surrogate end-point markers. The permutations of treatment regimens can be exhausting; in reality, the number of patients available for specific clinical criteria for these treatments is decreasing because of competition among treatment protocols. The melanoma patient treatment arena is becoming congested with numerous types of therapies. Unfortunately, patients entered into early clinical phase trials that assess only safety or host responses usually have limitations for long-term patient care benefit. Therefore, there is an increasing need for more and informative surrogate markers of early disease progression. Molecular markers in blood can be very informative surrogate end points of ongoing disease progression and stratification factors for adjuvant therapy of solid tumors (32) .
| FOOTNOTES |
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1 Supported in part by NIH, National Cancer
Institute PO1 Grants CA 29605 and CA 1038, the Roy E. Coats Foundation
(Los Angeles, CA), and the Wrather Family Foundation (Los Angeles,
CA). ![]()
2 To whom requests for reprints should be
addressed, at Department of Molecular Oncology, John Wayne Cancer
Institute, 2200 Santa Monica Boulevard, Santa Monica, CA 90404. ![]()
3 The abbreviations used are: RT-PCR, reverse
transcriptase-PCR; AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer. ![]()
Received 9/ 9/99. Accepted 2/17/00.
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