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Epidemiology and Prevention |
1 Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center and 2 Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington; 3 University of Wisconsin Comprehensive Cancer Center, Madison, Wisconsin; and 4 Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, Minnesota
Requests for reprints: Polly A. Newcomb, Cancer Prevention Program, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1100 Fairview Avenue N., P.O. Box 19024, M4-B402, Seattle, WA 98109-1024. Phone: 206-667-3476; Fax: 206-667-7850; E-mail: pnewcomb{at}fhcrc.org.
| Abstract |
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30% to 40% lower risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), although associations with specific types of hormones have been inconsistent. Further, it is not clear whether some tumor types have a different risk. We conducted a case-control study to examine the relationship between PMH and CRC. Cases (n = 1,004), ages 50 to 74 years, were identified from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results registry in Washington from 1998 to 2002; controls (n = 1,062) were randomly selected from population lists. Case tissue samples were obtained for microsatellite instability (MSI) analyses. Interviews collected risk-factor data for CRC, including detailed information on PMH. Multivariable logistic regression models estimated odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Current use of any PMH was associated with a 20% reduction in CRC risk (95% CI 0.6–0.9). This reduction in risk was limited to women who had taken estrogen plus progestin (EP) preparations only (OR = 0.6, 95% CI 0.5–0.9); there was no association with estrogen-only (E alone) use (OR = 0.9, 95% CI 0.7–1.1). For women with MSI-low or MSI-stable tumors, there was a statistically significant 40% reduction in CRC risk associated with EP use (95% CI 0.4–0.9); there was no clear association with MSI-high tumors. EP use was associated with a decreased risk of CRC; however, there seemed to be no association with E alone data that are consistent with the recent Women's Health Initiative findings. Progestin may enhance the estrogenic effect of conjugated estrogen so the combination may be more biologically active in the colon than E alone. [Cancer Res 2007;67(15):7534–9] | Introduction |
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Thus, in aggregate, epidemiologic evidence supports a protective relationship of PMH in the colorectum, yet there are many outstanding issues. Perhaps foremost is the question raised by WHI regarding the role of progestin in the colon and rectum. Further questions remain regarding specific patterns of use and subgroups, including user characteristics and tumor types, such as microsatellite unstable lesions, that may be more strongly associated with PMH use (14). We conducted a population-based case-control study to specifically evaluate the relationship between PMH type and CRC incidence.
| Materials and Methods |
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After cases were identified, physicians were contacted about their patients' eligibility for this study. If the physicians approved, the individual was approached with an introductory letter and then by a telephone call. Of the 1,414 eligible case patients identified, 141 (10%) were deceased, 66 (4%) were refused by physicians to contact, 22 (2%) could not be located, and 155 (11%) declined to participate, resulting in a final sample size of 1,030 case patients and an overall response proportion of 73%.
Community-based controls were randomly selected according to age distribution (in 5-year age intervals) of the eligible cases by using lists of licensed drivers from the Washington State Department of Licensing for individuals, ages 50 to 64 years, and rosters from the Health Care Financing Administration (now the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid) for individuals older than 64 years. Of the 1,617 potential control subjects identified, 44 (3%) were deceased, 46 (3%) could not be located, and 453 (28%) declined to participate. The final study sample included 1,074 control subjects (overall response of 66%).
We used a structured 60-min telephone interview to obtain information from all study participants on known or suspected risk factors for CRC, including use of PMH 2 years before the interview date for cases and controls. Women were asked about their use of estrogen and/or progestin, the date of use it was started, the date of use it was stopped, and total duration of use. The interview also elicited other medication use, reproductive experiences, physical activity, smoking history, selected dietary elements, height and weight, and medical history, including use of screening, family history of cancer, and demographic factors.
SEER registry reports were used to obtain information on cancer characteristics, including site, stage (local, regional, distant), and histology, along with additional demographic information. Histologic confirmation was reported for 97% of cases. For consenting cases, we collected pathology reports for a standardized review of cancer diagnoses, including site, stage, histology, grade, and distant spread.
Pathology materials. Paraffin-embedded colorectal tumors and diagnostic pathology reports were requested from a sequential sample of 757 CRC cases. Consent to acquire this material was obtained from 95% of cases, and treating institutions provided specimens for 90% of these consenting cases (n = 648). In general, sections were cut from the most representative tumor block and normal tissue block and stained with H&E. Stained sections were reviewed by site pathologist(s) and a colorectal tumor block consisting of 70% to 80% tumor cells, and a block of normal tissue were selected for further sectioning. For microsatellite instability (MSI) testing (and other future tumor DNA-based studies), ten 5-µg tumor sections were prepared. DNA was extracted from tumor and normal tissue using tissue DNA extraction kits from QIAGEN, Inc.
MSI analysis. MSI testing was completed on 590 tumors (9% had insufficient tissue for analysis) using nine markers: four mononucleotide markers (BAT25, BAT26, BAT40, and BAT34C4), four dinucleotide repeats (ACTC, D5S346, D18S55, and D10197), and one complex marker (MYCL). These markers include the five recommended markers in the panel proposed during the National Cancer Institute workshop on MSI for cancer detection (16). PCR fragments were tagged with a fluorescent dye and analyzed on an ABI3100 generic analyzer using a previously described protocol (17). For all of the cases, we corroborated the MSI results with IHC testing for hMLH1, hMSH2, and hMSH6. In a round-robin reading, this approach and interpretation has been highly reproducible.
Definitions and statistical analysis. PMH use was defined as any use for 6 months or more, and then was further divided, if possible, by type of preparation. Women were classified as E alone users if they had used estrogen exclusively for 6 months or more and had never used progestin, and as EP users if they had taken a combined preparation exclusively for 6 months or more. Women who had used both an E alone regimen and an EP regimen were included as a separate category, because the interpretation of the exposure was unclear. Current use of PMH was defined as use of hormones
2 years before the interview date to ascertain patterns of use before diagnosis (reference date). Duration of PMH use was defined as the cumulative duration of all periods of use. Women were considered nonusers if they had never used PMH or had used PMH for <6 months. Tumors were classified as MSI-stable (MSS, 0% of loci unstable), MSI-low (>0% to <30% of loci unstable), or MSI-high (
30% of loci unstable); unequivocal results for at least five markers were required to classify a tumor's MSI status.
Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for the association between PMH use and CRC incidence were estimated using logistic regression models, adjusting for age (in 5-year intervals), body mass index (BMI, kg/m2 in quartiles), adult onset diabetes (present, absent, or unknown), smoking status (never, former, current), regular NSAID use of 3 months or more (yes, no), colorectal screening sigmoidoscopy history within the past 10 years (yes, no, unknown), physical activity (in quartiles of hours per week), and family history of CRC (present, absent, unknown). These covariates were chosen based on a priori knowledge about risk factors for CRC. Tests of trend were conducted by including the variable in the model as an ordinal variable. To evaluate whether there were differences in the OR for E alone use versus EP use, we tested the significance of the OR for the contrast between E alone and EP using a three-level categorical covariate (never user, E alone, and EP) in the logistic model. Covariates, such as age at diagnosis, BMI, and tumor characteristics, were selected as effect modifiers because they may also influence hormone levels. Tests for interactions were assessed by a change in the log-likelihood ratio after the addition of a cross-product term between the exposure and effect modifier. Hormone use was unknown for 26 cases and 12 controls; after these exclusions, 1,004 cases and 1,062 controls remained for analysis. All statistical analyses were done using SAS v8.2 (SAS Institute, Inc.); all statistical significance tests were two-sided.
| Results |
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| Discussion |
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These results support previous studies of PMH and CRC by extending the sample size, preparation specific analyses, and molecular characterization of colorectal tumors. Observational evidence regarding the association between exogenous hormones and CRC in women has been remarkably consistent. Recent, pooled metaanalyses have found a consistently inverse relationship (20–40%) between PMH use and CRC risk (1, 19–21). Concerns about bias in this relationship, however, persisted until the results of the randomized controlled WHI estrogen-progestin study (12). After an average 5.2 years of follow-up, there were 45 cases of CRC in the combined EP group and 67 in the placebo arm (hazard ratio 0.63, 95% CI 0.43–0.92). In the more recently terminated E alone arm (13), the hazard ratio for CRC was 1.08; this result was based on 62 cases in the estrogen arm and there was variation by age (P = 0.048). There are important differences in the profiles of women in the two treatment arms that may have affected the results. Specifically, the E alone study enrolled slightly older women who did not have a uterus.
Evidence from WHI suggests that there may be some effect modification by age in the relationship between EP use and CRC risk; although the interaction was not statistically significant, the risk of CRC in women with ages 70 to 79 years was 0.51 compared with 0.79 in women with ages 50 to 59 years (22). We too found that the effect of EP was stronger in older women. Despite the compelling evidence from WHI, there are, nonetheless, several questions that will not be answered by that largest ever randomized controlled trial of PMH preparations. For example, because that study was stopped early, the effect of long-term use will not be known; data for whether the inverse association would be stronger among long-term users and whether it is independent of the reduction associated with recent use will not be available. It is also not known whether alternative regimens confer similar reductions in risk of CRC. To our knowledge, the only other study that has examined PMH use in relation to MSI colorectal tumors found that recent users of hormones had a reduced risk of MSI-high tumors, which we did not find in the present study; that study, however, used a different set of markers for determining MSI status (14).
The major risk factors for large bowel cancer—obesity, physical activity, and smoking—do seem to differ by sex; indeed, there is substantial evidence that these factors have a hormonal basis (23, 24). McMichael and Potter first suggested a role for estrogens and progestins in preventing colon cancer (25). Although the mechanism proposed at that time was based on changes in bile acid metabolism synthesis, the biological actions of hormones are myriad and are regulated by, among other things, their circulating concentrations, the conversion to more active or less active derivatives, and relevant receptor concentrations in the target tissue (26). In mammary tissue, provocative studies have shown that progesterone receptor-ß elicits a response to progesterone similar to that of estrogen. The biological mechanisms underlying an effect of progestins in the colon are less clear, although they may be synergistically amplifying estrogen's effects. Also, progesterone induces the isozyme of 17ß-hydroxy steroid dehydrogenase to catalyze the conversion of the less potent estrone to the more potent estradiol (27, 28). This effect has been hypothesized to explain the increased risk of breast cancer associated with EP beyond that of E alone (29). The biological mechanisms underlying an effect of progestins in the colon are less clear, although they may be synergistically amplifying estrogen's effects.
Epigenetic events not involving changes in DNA nucleotide sequences may also play a role. Estrogen and perhaps progestins may be key factors in the pathway leading to hypermethylation [CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP); ref. 30], a central feature of CRC (31) in which many genes can be silenced. In small studies of CRC cases, an estimated 28% to 58% were CIMP+ (32–34). In vitro and animal studies have also suggested that estrogen intervention reduces DNA methylation of specific genes and restores protective methylation patterns (31).
Despite the consistency of this study with other observational and clinical trials, there are limitations that should be considered in interpreting our results. We relied, as have most observational studies, on self-reports of hormone use. We were unable to validate hormone use but other studies report good agreement of self-reported use of PMH and information in medical records (35–37). Not all eligible subjects were interviewed because of death, refusal, and other reasons; for laboratory analyses, we were not able to obtain tissue or have MSI testing completed on all individuals. We also have a higher proportion of MSI-high cases than that found in previous studies (18, 38, 39), which may indicate differences in survival by molecular subtype, an outcome that has been associated with MSI-high tumor status (40, 41).
The results of this large study support a role for exogenous hormones in the genesis of CRC in women. However, they modify the previously held belief, first postulated over 30 years ago by McMichael and Potter, that estrogen per se is the active agent in endogenous and exogenous hormone's effects (25). In future investigations the mechanisms whereby estrogens and progestins reduce risk of CRC should be explored.
| Acknowledgments |
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The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.
We thank Dr. Jeannette Bigler and Amy French for analysis of MSI; Melissa Barker and Dr. Jeremy Jass for IHC on MMR proteins; the staff of the SEER registry for assistance with data; Dr. Brenda Diergaarde for advice and consultation during the analysis; the staff of interviewers, data managers, and programmers for high-quality study data; study participants from throughout Western Washington for their generous contributions to this research; and all the C-CFR investigators for assistance with protocols and study conduct throughout this study.
The content of this manuscript does not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the National Cancer Institute or any of the collaborating institutions or investigators in the C-CFR nor does mention of trade names, commercial products, or organizations imply endorsement by the U.S. government or the C-CFR.
Received 11/20/06. Revised 3/12/07. Accepted 5/25/07.
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