Table 2.

Projected deaths based on demographic and annual percentage change in death rates

MenWomenAll
Cancer siteAAPCa# of DeathscAAPCa# of Deathsc# of Deathsc
All
 2010−1.8309,000−1.4280,902589,902
 2020326,000289,000615,000
 2030327,000293,000620,000
Bladder
 2010NS10,428−0.44,30214,730
 202013,0005,00018,000
 203016,0006,00022,000
Brain and other CNS
 2010NS7,977−0.96,18714,164
 20209,0007,00016,000
 203011,0007,00017,000
Breast
 2010−1.940,99640,996
 202039,00039,000
 203037,00037,000
Colon and rectum
 2010−2.527,073−2.924,97252,045
 202027,00023,00049,000
 203026,00021,00047,000
Esophagus
 2010NS11,416−1.53,07414,490
 202014,0003,00017,000
 203014,0003,00017,000
Kidney and renal pelvis
 2010−0.98,436−0.94,78313,219
 202010,0005,00015,000
 203010,0006,00016,000
Leukemia
 2010−0.911,060−1.38,27419,334
 202012,0008,00020,000
 203014,0009,00022,000
Liver and intrahepatic bile
 20102.513,6571.66,64720,304
 202022,00010,00033,000
 203036,00015,00051,000
Lung and bronchus
 2010−2.987,698−1.470,550158,248
 202085,00076,000161,000
 203078,00078,000156,000
Melanomab
 20100.36,002−0.53,1529,154
 20207,0003,00010,000
 20308,0003,00012,000
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma
 2010−2.611,047−3.29,24720,294
 202010,0008,00018,000
 203010,0007,00017,000
Oral cavity and pharynx
 2010−1.25,815−0.92,6598,474
 20206,0003,0009,000
 20306,0003,0009,000
Ovary
 2010−1.914,57214,572
 202014,00014,000
 203014,00014,000
Pancreas
 20100.518,6990.518,18936,888
 202025,00024,00048,000
 203032,00031,00063,000
Prostate
 2010−3.128,56028,560
 202028,00028,000
 203024,00024,000
Thyroidb
 20101.227230.59631,686
 20209001,0002,000
 20301,0001,0002,000
Uterine corpus
 20100.48,4028,402
 202010,00010,000
 203012,00012,000

Abbreviation: NS, nonsignificant.

  • aEdwards et al. (ref. 5, Table 2).

  • bThe AAPCs for thyroid cancer–related death rates for males and females, and for melanoma cancer–related death rates for females, were calculated using the (SEER) Program SEER*Stat Database: Mortality - All COD, Aggregated With State, Total U.S. (1969–2010) and Joinpoint Regression program was used (version, 4.0.4, accessed, December 2013) with maximum 5 joinpoint using the 1975–2010 mortality data.

  • c2010 deaths were generated from SEER*Stat. Projected deaths for 2020 and 2030 >1,000 are rounded to the nearest 1,000; deaths <1,000 are rounded to the nearest 100. Projections for 2020 and 2030 were calculated using 2010 unrounded deaths generated from SEER*Stat.